Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $66.21
- Potential payout
- $217.09
- Potential profit
- $150.88
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$12.08
Polymarket Trader
Positive-master
0xa59ef079ebc2f42296635c2a900ae1185ee161f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.21
- Realized PnL
- $0.08
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Y
Yes position
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 100 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?No 42% 2.56 shares
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 23% 12 shares
- Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 67% 3.65 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?No 39% 2.56 shares
- Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 82% 3.66 shares
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 25% 12 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 22% 11.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 3.57 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 25% 12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 56% 3.57 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 6.4% 22.98 shares