Polymarket Trader

PredTest

0xa5a15579836adf05035e5c2eeca365dea2b1b72c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.14
Realized PnL: -$6.8
Win rate: 8.3%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $22.84
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $992.16
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $18.84

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.05
Potential profit: $213.05
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.84
Potential profit: $197.84
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $164.92
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.26
Potential profit: $109.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump deport less than 250,000?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.44
Potential profit: $107.44
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.54
Potential profit: $100.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will Chuck Gray win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $38.09
Potential profit: $37.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Brian Cillessen win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Maria Gasslitter (ITA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.43
Potential profit: $23.43
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $16.78
Potential profit: $15.36
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.58
Potential profit: $12.58
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.64
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$4.87

No position

Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09
Potential profit: $4.09
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.01
Potential profit: $4.01
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Nida Allam be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $2.9
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46
Potential profit: $1.46
User PnL: -$0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Trump deport less than 250,000?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Valerie Foushee be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Kevin Wilson be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$0.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.2% 166.67 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 53% 2.4 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 54% 2.41 shares
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 53% 2.36 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 55% 2.36 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 53% 3.63 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 55% 3.64 shares
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 9.37 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 21.5% 9.21 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 21.7% 9.22 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 21% 9.43 shares