Polymarket Trader

M2M2

0xa5bb3dc137279b151afa6782c3815baf0bcac2fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $666.15
Realized PnL: $596.33
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

BNB Up or Down - July 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $653.59
Potential payout: $738.52
Potential profit: $84.93
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $284.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 6AM ET

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.57
Potential profit: $417.57
User PnL: -$212.96

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 17, 7AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.95
Potential profit: $396.95
User PnL: -$202.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.12
Potential profit: $354.12
User PnL: -$180.6

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.67
Potential profit: $269.67
User PnL: -$134.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.04
Potential profit: $247.04
User PnL: -$129.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.79
Potential profit: $237.79
User PnL: -$118.89

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.43
Potential profit: $231.43
User PnL: -$115.71

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $12.56
Potential payout: $228.42
Potential profit: $215.86
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$30.64

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.86
Potential profit: $221.86
User PnL: -$110.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.94
Potential profit: $195.94
User PnL: -$99.93

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.47
Potential profit: $186.47
User PnL: -$96.37

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 11, 1PM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.18
Potential profit: $168.18
User PnL: -$85.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.72

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Fed rate cut by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Down 50% 240 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 221.86 shares
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 259.6 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 50% 227.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 234.01 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 7AM ET

Up 51% 396.95 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 1PM ET

Down 51% 168.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5AM ET

Up 51% 195.94 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 7AM ET

Down 51% 354.12 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 6AM ET

Down 51% 417.57 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18.9% 228.42 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Down 51% 178.24 shares