No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $64.95
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$217.68
Polymarket Trader
PanSolyak
0xa5c2f1ebf995f8fd62c02d493913087e66b81bbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $367.98
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.3
- Potential profit
- $396.3
- User PnL
- -$26.26
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.81
- Potential profit
- $279.81
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $135.56
- Potential payout
- $151.46
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $34.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.06
- Potential profit
- $101.06
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.67
- Potential profit
- $95.67
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $83.27
- Potential payout
- $93.03
- Potential profit
- $9.77
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $23.27
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.39
- Potential profit
- $91.39
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $54.55
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $24.36
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $26.92
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.98
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $42.28
- Potential payout
- $49.45
- Potential profit
- $7.17
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $10.28
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.38
- Potential profit
- $49.38
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.29
- Potential profit
- $49.29
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $48.16
- Potential profit
- $42.63
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$6.46
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.64
- Potential profit
- $47.64
- User PnL
- -$10.6
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $5.68
- Potential payout
- $36.64
- Potential profit
- $30.96
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $32.25
- Potential profit
- $26.93
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.19
- Potential profit
- $29.19
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $28.99
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.56
- Potential profit
- $25.56
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.94
No position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.55
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.86
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.66
No position
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.89
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.16
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.07
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.71
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.29
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.01
Yes position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.57
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.48
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.78
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.14
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.32
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.76
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.87
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.18
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
No position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?No 6% 50 shares
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?No 22% 22.73 shares
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?No 15.5% 32.25 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 4% 25 shares
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 16.7% 30 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 21.43 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 55% 54.55 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 39% 17.95 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 30% 7.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 55% 36.36 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 66% 15.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 69.9% 34.36 shares