Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.92
- Potential profit
- $98.92
- User PnL
- -$11.87
Polymarket Trader
0xa5Dbb768F8d223b51aaC8be0c01D32C250639348-1770464605944
0xa5dbb768f8d223b51aac8be0c01d32c250639348
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.93
- Realized PnL
- $63.41
- Win rate
- 65%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $10.93
- Potential payout
- $73.13
- Potential profit
- $62.2
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.91
- Potential profit
- $67.91
- User PnL
- -$23.09
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.86
- Potential profit
- $63.86
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.97
- Potential profit
- $62.97
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.57
- Potential profit
- $62.57
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.9
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.74
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Timberwolves
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
Raptors position
Pistons vs. Raptors
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.23
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Capitals
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Rockets position
Jazz vs. Rockets
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Hornets position
Rockets vs. Hornets
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.19
Magic position
Magic vs. Suns
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.31
Sharks position
Oilers vs. Sharks
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.77
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.79
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes 6.7% 73.13 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 7% 63.86 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 96.5% 69.04 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 95% 48.73 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?No 7% 44.57 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?No 7% 44.57 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 8.2% 62.97 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 7% 62.57 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes 12% 98.92 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 34% 67.91 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?No 95% 24.07 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No 89% 22.45 shares