Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$30.81
Polymarket Trader
kubectl
0xa5de0554ea5c02e99e0a12febdea93bb9cc13ffc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.63
- Realized PnL
- $130.88
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$58.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $480
- User PnL
- -$179.6
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $14.24
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $305.76
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$84.96
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32.6
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.92
- Potential profit
- $199.92
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.46
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $95.15
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13.9
No position
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.8
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.21
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.96
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "abortion" during the Joe Rogan podcast?
Ends Oct 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.54
Yes position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.2
No position
Trump Travel Ban Before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.21
Yes position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.51
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 31% 320 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 5.3% 200 shares
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes 9% 110 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Yes 2.1% 120 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 5.1% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 12% 400 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 0.3% 187.21 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 3.7% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 44% 114 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 107 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?Yes 3.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No 3.7% 100 shares