Polymarket Trader

gugw6

0xa5ebf9956be23e2925f0ffacc369e46c268a5935

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.73
Realized PnL: $64.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Top Esports Make Finals at MSI 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Shaq attend the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will anyone say "Dog Fight" or "Dogfight" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Grass" this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $32.81
Potential profit: $32.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon post "President" on X this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.57
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.55
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Trump post "Mutilization" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.56

Yes position

Will the Milwaukee Brewers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Trump’s remarks not air?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Chicago White Sox have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Royals have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.74
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Guardians have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.6
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the Athletics have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.72
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mandate" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.71
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Orioles have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.72
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the Boston Red Sox have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.73
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.7
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the Washington Nationals have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.71
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Braves have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Solana above $215 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

2025 January hottest on record?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Solana dip to $130 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week?

Yes 0.1% 30.01 shares
Will Elon post "Football" on X this week?

Yes 0.1% 30 shares
Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week?

Yes 0.1% 30 shares
Will Elon post "President" on X this week?

Yes 0.3% 30 shares
Will the San Diego Padres have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Yes 0.9% 20 shares
Will the Minnesota Twins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Yes 0.9% 20 shares
Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?

Yes 0.1% 30 shares
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 0.1% 30.01 shares
Will the Seattle Mariners have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Yes 1% 20 shares
Will Elon post "President" on X this week?

Yes 0.4% 30 shares
Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Yes 1% 20 shares
Will the Los Angeles Angels have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Yes 0.9% 20 shares