Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $133
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $67
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
0xa5f0...26cd
0xa5f04d51f2f6d322b519bc56a2a29ea54be626cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $318.08
- Realized PnL
- $186.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $156.2
- Potential payout
- $168.05
- Potential profit
- $11.85
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $28.87
- Potential payout
- $146.2
- Potential profit
- $117.32
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.29
- Potential profit
- $72.29
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.94
- Potential profit
- $34.94
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.05
- Potential profit
- $32.05
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.68
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.83
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.11
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.15
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.97
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82% 168.05 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 70% 200 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 146.2 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No 94.3% 157.02 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 95% 147.37 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 31.2% 32.05 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes 26% 57.69 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 95.7% 11.47 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 95.7% 114.72 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No 78% 96.15 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 17% 29.41 shares