Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $23.38
- Potential payout
- $850.05
- Potential profit
- $826.68
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$76.62
Polymarket Trader
aug1
0xa60a16037ce865fe4a4f4c104cd84528f50aa5fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.63
- Realized PnL
- $323.04
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310.1
- Potential profit
- $310.1
- User PnL
- -$17.68
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.83
- Potential profit
- $230.83
- User PnL
- -$34.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.14
- Potential profit
- $179.14
- User PnL
- -$12.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.09
- Potential profit
- $176.09
- User PnL
- -$15.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.93
- Potential profit
- $165.93
- User PnL
- -$16.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.8
- Potential profit
- $138.8
- User PnL
- -$8.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.86
- Potential profit
- $137.86
- User PnL
- -$36.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.44
- Potential profit
- $133.44
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.64
- Potential profit
- $112.64
- User PnL
- -$7.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.33
- Potential profit
- $111.33
- User PnL
- -$22.27
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $102.99
- Potential profit
- $102.73
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.77
- Potential profit
- $101.77
- User PnL
- -$12.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.24
- Potential profit
- $98.24
- User PnL
- -$53.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.56
- Potential profit
- $97.56
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Over position
Games Total: O/U 6.5
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.68
- Potential profit
- $69.68
- User PnL
- -$64.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.7
- Potential profit
- $63.7
- User PnL
- -$6.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.34
- Potential profit
- $58.34
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.57
- Potential profit
- $57.57
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.39
- Potential profit
- $56.39
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.31
- Potential profit
- $47.31
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.57
Yes position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?Yes 6.6% 26.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 3?No 87.8% 20.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?Yes 1.5% 81.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?Yes 13% 15.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?Yes 8% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?Yes 8% 2.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?Yes 19.5% 56.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?No 90% 2.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?No 90% 8.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?No 89% 1.7 shares