Polymarket Trader

iain384gabriela

0xa60ba8c97b0cb624f93bdcdf9a48d4f7e9da7624

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.67
Realized PnL: $7.58
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.9%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.7%
Multiplier: 4.06x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.9%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?

No 97.3% 12 shares
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?

No 97.3% 38 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 95.9% 39 shares
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

No 98.4% 5 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 14.1% 0.92 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 14.4% 33 shares
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 2.5% 74 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

No 97.1% 38 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.5% 41 shares
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 86.4% 32 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 89.1% 26.84 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 96.6% 38 shares