No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $15.15K
- Potential payout
- $16.04K
- Potential profit
- $890.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Polymarket Trader
0xA60FE9ddA6E940Af2422b755fB8AC8E315A270f0-1723214234314
0xa60fe9dda6e940af2422b755fb8ac8e315a270f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.48K
- Realized PnL
- $2.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $133.82
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $33.83
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $90.36
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $114.46
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $125.47
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $999.85
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$74.53
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $41.67
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $60.48
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $39.22
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $204.4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $795.6
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $104.4
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $84.09
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $825
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$15.91
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $176.54
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $592.69
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $76.54
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $502.78
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $52.78
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.25
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$47.25
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $80.91
- Potential payout
- $393.7
- Potential profit
- $312.8
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$19.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.67
- Potential profit
- $323.67
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $299.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $71.55
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $211.49
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $18.39
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.49
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $214.57
- Potential payout
- $227.54
- Potential profit
- $12.97
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $14.57
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.7%
- Current value
- $95.55
- Potential payout
- $181.49
- Potential profit
- $85.93
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
No position
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.85
- Potential profit
- $180.85
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $175.44
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.91
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.85
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.64
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.53
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.35
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.86
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.59
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.8
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.68
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.65
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.78
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.58
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.56
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.67
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.27
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.91
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.72
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.04
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Yes 10% 500 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 93.8% 106.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 84% 119.05 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 3.8% 2,020.2 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 63.9% 156.53 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 27% 434.78 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Yes 35% 285.71 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes 97.5% 102.56 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 55.1% 181.49 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 82.5% 121.17 shares