Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $99.81
- Potential profit
- $99.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.18
Polymarket Trader
0xa616...5368
0xa61665772b7a6808cd4eee83593567a314985368
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $82.18
- Realized PnL
- $343.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $27.73
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $19.27
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $24.5
- Potential profit
- $24.46
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $21.36
- Potential payout
- $22.25
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $22.16
- Potential profit
- $22.15
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $18.38
- Potential payout
- $18.47
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $17.14
- Potential profit
- $17.07
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.37
- Potential payout
- $9.39
- Potential profit
- $5.02
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $8.46
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.74
- Potential profit
- $7.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Ugo Humbert position
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $4.96
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $4.68
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Aleksandar Kovacevic position
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?Yes 99.8% 50.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?Yes 99.9% 13.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?Yes 99.9% 51.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 18?Yes 21.1% 22.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?Yes 39% 2.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?No 59% 2.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?Yes 37% 4.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 17?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 18?Yes 19% 9.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 16?Yes 25% 5.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 18?Yes 18% 12.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 17?Yes 33% 7.12 shares