No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $34.77
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.04
Polymarket Trader
jiaolu
0xa61e1fe580959ead865eca6ec66939d6adce5ac1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $121.13
- Realized PnL
- $17.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $14.87
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $12.92
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $11.91
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.93
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No 98.9% 10 shares
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No 99% 11 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 15 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 99.9% 12 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 12 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?No 99.9% 14 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No 99.6% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.3% 13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.3% 14 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No 99.2% 12 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.8% 12 shares