Polymarket Trader

lyovius

0xa61f8d3ec8691ca21e3e51987bde50559d18fa82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $84.27
Realized PnL: $13.77
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353
Potential profit: $353
User PnL: -$6.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $305
User PnL: -$11.21

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $297.55
Potential profit: $285.05
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.98
Potential profit: $248.98
User PnL: -$8.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $13.53
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $185.47
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $191.33
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $188.99
Potential profit: $184.83
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $179.76
Potential profit: $175.54
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $174.21
Potential profit: $172.73
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $174.11
Potential profit: $170.02
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $174.06
Potential profit: $171.88
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $171.22
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $170.43
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $172.17
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $6.52
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $167.48
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $172.35
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $170.43
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $173.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $172
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $173.04
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $172.17
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $172.35
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $169.04
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $170.96
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.27

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 29?

Yes 2.2% 18.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 29?

Yes 2% 42.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 29?

Yes 2% 14.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on June 29?

Yes 1.5% 140 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?

Yes 1.8% 140 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?

Yes 1.8% 140 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?

Yes 2.2% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?

Yes 2% 19.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?

Yes 2.3% 34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 29?

Yes 2.3% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 29?

Yes 2% 5.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on June 29?

Yes 1.6% 34 shares