No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $12.28K
- Potential payout
- $13.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$131
Polymarket Trader
GonTanaka
0xa62abc8cb1fb4dc98ff0bd11b1cd89854e3aa8ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.52K
- Realized PnL
- $5.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.05K
- Potential payout
- $10.87K
- Potential profit
- $815.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $54.35
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $9.01K
- Potential payout
- $9.34K
- Potential profit
- $331.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$25.4
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.67K
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $51.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $330.52
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $737.36
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $155.74
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$132.1
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $613.12
- Potential payout
- $735.15
- Potential profit
- $122.03
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $114.46
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $569.25
- Potential payout
- $629
- Potential profit
- $59.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.69
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $554.77
- Potential payout
- $613
- Potential profit
- $58.24
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $23.17
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $538.97
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $70.03
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $21.62
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Current value
- $46.31
- Potential payout
- $428.78
- Potential profit
- $382.47
- Multiplier
- 9.26x
- User PnL
- -$64.09
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $308.92
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- $31.92
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $217.29
- Potential payout
- $219.6
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $25.47
No position
Trump goes to space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $175.05
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $150.62
- Potential payout
- $161.09
- Potential profit
- $10.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $108.78
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$40.59
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $58.5
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $64.63
- Potential payout
- $67.01
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.37
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $58.59
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.77
Yes position
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $45.86
- Potential payout
- $53.33
- Potential profit
- $7.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $43.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.75
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $14.88
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.29
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.06
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.02
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.6
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $109.67
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.3
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.11
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.36
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.2
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.53
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.33
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.42
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.3
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.86
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $36.8
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $35.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.86
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 248.99 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.3% 240 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 22% 242.51 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 3.4% 1,136.45 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 85% 120 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.8% 8,300 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 92% 620 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 14% 1,790 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 2,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 589 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 43% 100 shares