Polymarket Trader

00000

0xa62d5f6900aae1a25718fa9addd06d8aeca1224f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $231.86
Realized PnL: $822.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $61.78
Potential payout: $362.32
Potential profit: $300.54
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $11.78

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $343.62
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$98.79

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $68.21
Potential payout: $133.74
Potential profit: $65.53
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$31.79

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $100.67
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $32.67
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.9

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.88

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.89

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.14

No position

Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.4

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.07

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

No position

LayerZero airdrop in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.62

Yes position

Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.24

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.05

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.92

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.66

Yes position

WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

No position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $12.53

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?

Ends Jul 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

No position

Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

No position

Token Launch Party Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 13.8% 362.32 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 75% 133.33 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 74.8% 133.74 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 54.8% 182.48 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 78.1% 268.89 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 60.2% 169.49 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 59% 169.49 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

No 21% 208.33 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Yes 72% 138.89 shares
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines

Alabama Crimson Tide 19% 6,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 29% 344.83 shares