Polymarket Trader

piemcd

0xa63e20d4948eabc16015d705601961474cad722e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $192.48
Realized PnL: $84.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Miami position

Spread: Miami (-13.5)

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$1.81K

New Mexico position

New Mexico vs. Minnesota

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$1.08K

Lightning position

Lightning vs. Red Wings

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$994.15

Toronto Blue Jays position

Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$419.13

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $192.48
Potential payout: $203.68
Potential profit: $11.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.02

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.23
Potential profit: $111.23
User PnL: -$81.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.17

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.66

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

US military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

No 99.9% 131.93 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 93% 29.68 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 95.8% 102.13 shares
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Toronto Blue Jays 37% 1,132.78 shares
Lightning vs. Red Wings

Lightning 59% 1,685 shares
Spread: Miami (-13.5)

Miami 51% 3,549.76 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

No 74% 42.96 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Yes 98.2% 14.19 shares
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?

No 99.3% 17.61 shares
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?

Yes 99.5% 31.42 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

No 97.7% 31.26 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?

Yes 93.3% 30.54 shares