Polymarket Trader

GGWPGL

0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.76K
Realized PnL: $56.76K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.66K
Potential profit: $25.66K
User PnL: -$3K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$218.8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.1%
Current value: $3.56K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $438.04
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $895.87

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $34.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.1K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.95

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $105.66

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $100.89

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.78

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $65.08

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.58

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Multiplier: 5.49x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$13.63

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$107.5

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$189.73

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$262.26

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$413.82

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$514.04

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$627.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$740.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 61.7% 330.05 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Yes 72.9% 411 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Yes 63% 521.03 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Yes 68% 4,836.06 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 56% 3,768.45 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 58% 5,000 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 20.4% 5,041.74 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Yes 11% 3,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 81.8% 2,561.56 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 77.7% 44.37 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 81% 542.39 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 83.4% 3,678.96 shares