Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $641.6
- Potential payout
- $183.31K
- Potential profit
- $182.67K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $133.82
Polymarket Trader
Metusalem
@LuistoXBT
0xa65ccb877d2cb355dc74ad3be7134de30ac732fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.28K
- Realized PnL
- $32.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $58.59
- Potential payout
- $16.74K
- Potential profit
- $16.68K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$31.22
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $181.7
- Potential payout
- $9.08K
- Potential profit
- $8.9K
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$233.45
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $607.5
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$298.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.79
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$89.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$987.97
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $137.5
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.7
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $172.68
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$50.42
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $192.38
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$37.19
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $305.33
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$205.09
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $74.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $60.45
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $53.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.4
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.14
No position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $226.2
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $973.79
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- -$91.8
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $976.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $729.83
- Potential payout
- $958.41
- Potential profit
- $228.58
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $22.26
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $553.31
- Potential payout
- $899.68
- Potential profit
- $346.38
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $185.41
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $825.57
- Potential profit
- $825.57
- User PnL
- -$462.18
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $779.61
- Potential payout
- $800.01
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $656.75
- Potential payout
- $710
- Potential profit
- $53.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $25.75
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $329
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $371
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $942.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $929.65
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $918.73
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $899.41
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $850.16
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $831.2
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.92
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 100 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 90.9% 3.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.6% 147.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 500 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 35% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 94.2% 72.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 16% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 23% 14 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 23% 5 shares