Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Current value
- $153.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $446.1
- Multiplier
- 3.90x
- User PnL
- $21.3
Polymarket Trader
ummha
0xa663302c9ecbbc55bfea324bcdd99191cfa48c3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $283.53
- Realized PnL
- -$7.18
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $121.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $178.35
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $7.98
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $112.02
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.21
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.11
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 90.6% 50 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 90.6% 50 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.8% 160 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.2% 160 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 74% 150 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.7% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 32% 130 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 70% 130 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 86% 40 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 86.9% 140 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 32% 130 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 20% 130 shares