Polymarket Trader

0xA669c6B04f73978Da85c67c5383Aca5afE5799AD-1768132132061

0xa669c6b04f73978da85c67c5383aca5afe5799ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $873.42
Realized PnL: -$392.77
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $405
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $595
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $205

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $36.06
Potential payout: $840.57
Potential profit: $804.51
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$13.94

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $670.39
Potential profit: $670.39
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $332.84
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $82.83

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $99.53
Potential payout: $292.29
Potential profit: $192.77
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $74.53

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.72
Potential profit: $51.72
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.73
Potential profit: $35.73
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.93

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Yes position

Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 36% 1,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 93% 333.33 shares
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 30.2% 292.29 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 75% 666.67 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Yes 17% 588.24 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

No 29.8% 670.39 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 61.4% 814.18 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

No 64% 78.13 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 78% 64.1 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 64% 78.13 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

No 51% 196.08 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Yes 28% 35.73 shares