Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.07
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Polymarket Trader
magickD3MiAN
@romankryzhan
0xa66bc2b52667f2844e9f76100806028d30c60b8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.41
- Realized PnL
- $5.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $48.06
- Potential payout
- $72.27
- Potential profit
- $24.21
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $21.11
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $14.28
- Potential payout
- $18.42
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.88
No position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $224.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.42
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174
No position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.82
Yes position
Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.91
Yes position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.69
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $137.07
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.35
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.91
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.58
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.98
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.59
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.2
Yes position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.4
No position
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.18
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.85
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.32
Yes position
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 24.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 41% 13 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.3% 2,770.77 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 41% 10.81 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 39% 23.99 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 256.67 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 77.1% 20 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 55.6% 20 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.1% 2,328.76 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 6.7% 325.79 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.5% 304.7 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.7% 1,304.21 shares