Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- User PnL
- -$110
Polymarket Trader
DeFiFry
@DeFiFry
0xa6708372ef6707a09b4ddfeff15c3ecb758e5c49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.51
- Realized PnL
- $1.08K
- Win rate
- 10%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $4.17K
- User PnL
- -$199.9
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- User PnL
- -$342.82
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$87.5
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $45.01
- Potential payout
- $473.8
- Potential profit
- $428.79
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$49.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$63.7
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$504.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 473.8 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 1,666.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 3.2% 3,125 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Yes 2.1% 5,238.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETDown 1% 999.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp 3.8% 263.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown 49.3% 186.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown 50% 186.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown 49% 67.57 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 95.7% 14 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 93.3% 14 shares