Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.07K
- Potential profit
- $12.07K
- User PnL
- -$802.02
Polymarket Trader
megadarkparticle
0xa67d4743aeb60ba703fcf2459dcf7495a319c6f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $862
- Realized PnL
- $8.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 4PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.71K
- Potential profit
- $9.71K
- User PnL
- -$448.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $487.5
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.01K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$422.5
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $357.5
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.14K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$82.5
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- User PnL
- -$230.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- User PnL
- -$150.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- User PnL
- -$671.34
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- User PnL
- -$31.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$813.82
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- User PnL
- -$174.27
Yes position
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$102.86
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$752.4
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- User PnL
- -$107.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$30.98
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 23, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$645.29
Yes position
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$129.07
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$83.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$84.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$127.47
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$42.53
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$54.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$17.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.06
1. FC Köln position
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.72
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.66
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.68
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.63
Up position
XRP Up or Down on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.2
Yes position
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.66
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.83
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207
Yes position
Will Don’t Be Dumb by A$AP Rocky be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 31?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.1
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.44
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
Yes position
Will Salford City FC win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.29
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.78
Yes position
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.19
Yes position
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.57
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.73
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown 56% 8.93 shares
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?Yes 38% 85 shares
- Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?Yes 4% 9.52 shares
- Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?Yes 9% 5.3 shares
- Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?Yes 33% 85 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Yes 16% 23.8 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 14?Yes 33.6% 85 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?Yes 28% 85 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?Yes 1% 85 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?Yes 1% 85 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10?Yes 32% 20 shares