Yes position
Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $8.77
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.32
Polymarket Trader
Alfisko
@Alfisk0
0xa68578dd3f1641c0a44545aa1d9299bef584c6c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.43
- Realized PnL
- $384.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $7.18
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.99
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.3
Blues position
Blues vs. Hurricanes
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Pelicans position
Raptors vs. Pelicans
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" 2+ times during Michigan visit?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.34
No position
Will Starmer say "Iran" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will the fight be won by submission?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Cocaine" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Illegal Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Heroic position
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
No position
Will "Donate" or "Donation" be said 50+ times during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Will "Budget" be said during Eurovision?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
Washington Nationals position
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will "Congress" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55
No position
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
Yes position
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
Yes position
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will "Palace" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
No position
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 55% 5 shares
- Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?Yes 44% 5 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 81% 10 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 10 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 61% 10 shares
- Will Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?No 54% 10 shares
- Will "Spider" be said 4+ times during the next Spider-Man trailer?No 65% 10 shares
- Will "Spider" be said 4+ times during the next Spider-Man trailer?No 64% 5 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 51% 10 shares
- Will "Spider" be said 4+ times during the next Spider-Man trailer?No 65% 20 shares
- Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?No 60% 5 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 62% 5 shares