Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.92
- Potential profit
- $161.92
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Polymarket Trader
yolo197211
0xa69133fc17718bfae2b757b0e5e93337bb845752
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.65
- Realized PnL
- $18.84
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.5
- Potential profit
- $145.5
- User PnL
- -$3.24
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.35
- Potential profit
- $137.35
- User PnL
- -$6.28
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $58.05
- Potential payout
- $58.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $16.18
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $42.71
- Potential profit
- $40.09
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.99
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.09
- Potential profit
- $22.09
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $18.8
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.43
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.99
- Potential payout
- $11.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.34
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 21.36 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 21.36 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 45 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 10.1% 11 shares
- Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?No 68.4% 22 shares
- Will Future feature Sexyy Red on "The Real Me"?No 86% 17 shares
- Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?No 71.8% 3.01 shares
- Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?No 71% 9 shares
- Will Future feature Sexyy Red on "The Real Me"?No 88% 8 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 45.56 shares
- Will Future feature Sexyy Red on "The Real Me"?No 87% 9 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 11% 11 shares