Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$608.77
Polymarket Trader
0xA6964d1A5b5b6DC51e6444B6530Da91462991d24-1763678571510
0xa6964d1a5b5b6dc51e6444b6530da91462991d24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.74K
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $796.47
- Potential payout
- $931.55
- Potential profit
- $135.07
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $160.47
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $796.76
- Potential profit
- $796.76
- User PnL
- -$646
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $598.51
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $15.3
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $417.95
- Potential profit
- $417.95
- User PnL
- -$342.72
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $195.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.3
No position
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$145.75
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $114.44
- Potential payout
- $140.44
- Potential profit
- $25.99
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$10.56
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.25
- Potential profit
- $50.25
- User PnL
- -$40.7
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.02
- Potential profit
- $42.02
- User PnL
- -$19.33
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Up Only podcast released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.05
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.2
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $88.01
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $86.86
No position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.06
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Up Only podcast released by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.57
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $44.16
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.58
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $39.17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.49
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.2
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $32.36
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $31.47
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $31.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.54
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.65
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.4
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.57
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $22.78
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?No 65% 20 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81% 400 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?No 98.5% 835.11 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 16% 399.22 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?No 77.4% 140.43 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?No 88.7% 68.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.7% 530 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 25% 798.44 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 83.8% 238.75 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?No 84% 28.12 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?No 90.5% 50 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94% 106.38 shares