Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Polymarket Trader
elisabethmyrtle1786
0xa69ec1916947b784828c2a8e4a7bb81dce577a3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.39
- Realized PnL
- $4.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 86.1% 102 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96.7% 100 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96.5% 100 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.5% 104 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87% 111 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87% 111 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 97.9% 89 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 97.9% 89 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 11.5% 12 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95.4% 66 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 98.2% 98 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 98.4% 98 shares