Heat position
Heat vs. Hornets
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.58
- Potential profit
- $20.58
- User PnL
- -$6.79
Polymarket Trader
MargauxR
0xa6ab6900c384f02f7ec36baa05c6b7811cca6786
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $10.09
- Realized PnL
- -$72.14
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $17.09
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$47.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93.6% 17.09 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.8% 16.89 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 35.4% 187.23 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 47% 187.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 118.68 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 118.68 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 40.6% 138.66 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 75% 138.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 63% 162.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 66% 162.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No 97.3% 8.2 shares
- Heat vs. HornetsHeat 33% 20.16 shares