Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $79.79
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Polymarket Trader
0xA6ac2b1Cce43fE2439f92d50b0d89a13A1b619Ca-1783641102314
0xa6ac2b1cce43fe2439f92d50b0d89a13a1b619ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.73
- Realized PnL
- $137.64
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $84.2
- Potential profit
- $74.13
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $20.71
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- Multiplier
- 4.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $3.81
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 3.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.58x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.9%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12% 58.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown 29% 3.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 12% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 35% 2.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 37% 2.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp 3% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp 11% 9.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown 12% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown 33% 3.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 24.5% 8.16 shares