Polymarket Trader

Relaccsed

@Relaccsed

0xa6b7ebd5ce137c3b5d56f896a52eba71702bd5f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.56K
Realized PnL: $37.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $31.23K
Potential profit: $28.2K
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: -$804.11

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $347.2
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.65K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$44.8

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $345.17

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $49.9
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$45.04

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $6.02
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $52.61
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $209.75

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $799.21
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $640.81
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$246.54

Yes position

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $48.21
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$27.92

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$60.3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $231.04
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $795.8
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$42.5

Yes position

Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $41.81
Potential payout: $929.06
Potential profit: $887.25
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $688.83
Potential profit: $680.91
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$41.66

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $271.17
Potential payout: $677.93
Potential profit: $406.76
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$81.15

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $673.37
Potential profit: $669.33
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$63.09

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $657.3
Potential profit: $651.71
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$14.79

No position

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $412.8
Potential payout: $640
Potential profit: $227.2
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $457.03
Potential payout: $601.36
Potential profit: $144.33
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $190.73

Yes position

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $395.26
Potential payout: $503.51
Potential profit: $108.26
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $41.2

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $458.51
Potential profit: $455.07
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $151.82
Potential payout: $453.18
Potential profit: $301.36
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$58.57

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $76.62
Potential payout: $405.39
Potential profit: $328.77
Multiplier: 5.29x
User PnL: -$218.07

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $152
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $248
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $350
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $910.71

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $889

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $874.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $835.79

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.72

Yes position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $770.72

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 44% 125.8 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 45% 200 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 11.1% 1,058.04 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 52% 677.93 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 77% 10 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 77.5% 20 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 81% 245.7 shares
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

Yes 60.6% 24.51 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 77% 1,316.21 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 74.4% 1,112.12 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 10.9% 4,149.92 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 30.3% 500 shares