Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $36.17
- Potential payout
- $42.11
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Polymarket Trader
cadnel
0xa6bf7b7937da32abd823bcca8bc438e9b9a076c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.17
- Realized PnL
- $5.01
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.63
- Potential profit
- $26.63
- User PnL
- -$19.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 42.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 84% 59.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 74% 59.46 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 20.65 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 20.65 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 97.9% 19.41 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 92.8% 19.54 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.2% 19.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 94.3% 19.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 96.7% 19.65 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 94.4% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 98% 20 shares