No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $35.81
- Potential payout
- $35.88
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $15.81
Polymarket Trader
ShoTake
0xa6d31bd8108e8da9d771a5794f3f3bee759d3b88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $65.6
- Realized PnL
- $0.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $21.45
- Potential payout
- $23.44
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.46
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.75
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $19.31
- Potential profit
- $12.53
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $14.12
- Potential profit
- $13.11
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39% 5.13 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes 36.2% 19.31 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 40.5% 19.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp 88% 5.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?No 55.7% 35.88 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 35.4% 14.12 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 64% 23.44 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?No 10% 20 shares