Polymarket Trader

MAGURO

0xa6d7d478f43a6b60c091a483a430873b0b329db4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.5K
Realized PnL: $42.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.71K
Potential profit: $10.71K
User PnL: -$3.39K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $4.71K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $287.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $712.5

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$2.84K

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.2K

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $881.61
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $464.36
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$118.39

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $910.37
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $193.11
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$89.63

Yes position

Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $461.87
Potential profit: $461.87
User PnL: -$9.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73K

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36K

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Rams position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Djokovic position

Australian Open: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic

Ends Jan 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.26

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $939.27

Yes position

Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $923.47

No position

Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?

Ends Jul 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $834.36

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $797.65

No position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $785

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $765.23

Yes position

Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.77

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697.14

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.52

No position

Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 18% 1,666.66 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 30% 1,666.67 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 21.6% 7,840.34 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 75.2% 2,659.75 shares
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 79% 3,797.65 shares
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

No 99.9% 5,000 shares
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Yes 99.9% 3,426.24 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 95.6% 5,230.13 shares
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes 90.6% 1,103.48 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 53.4% 3,743.22 shares
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Yes 87.6% 3,426.24 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 74.3% 1,345.96 shares