Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $39.94K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- $3.73K
Polymarket Trader
kinderSman
@kinderSman
0xa6d9b55a6a3a54a9d50ca94c64f00af69c50fd2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.96K
- Realized PnL
- $272.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.02K
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- User PnL
- $13.96
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$287.1
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$35.2
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.59K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.7K
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $22.02K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.05K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $18.32K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7K
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $11.82K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.39K
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $9.97K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.01K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 11?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.72K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- $6.69K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $4.59K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $4.49K
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08K
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,000 shares
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under 99.4% 200 shares
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under 96% 100 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?No 97.3% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes 99.6% 43.97 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes 96% 100 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15?Yes 99.9% 30,833.37 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?Yes 98.8% 10,496 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 91.3% 400 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.8% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Yes 99.8% 100 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes 99.2% 41.12 shares