Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.33K
- Potential profit
- $4.33K
- User PnL
- -$80.85
Polymarket Trader
phsr
0xa6e4d6da7e3ba05550437db4475eacb1cc21369f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $22.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on or before April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$116.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$110.17
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$95.33
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$95.33
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$95.33
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$95.33
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$75.77
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$75.77
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 14?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$75.77
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$75.77
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$75.77
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 29?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$75.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $832.93
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $789.01
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.29
No position
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.15
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.96
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $707.11
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.47
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.9
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.87
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.95
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.35
No position
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.17
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.44
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $420 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.16
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $426.38
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 88.9% 145.94 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?Yes 92% 1,442 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the NJ-11 House seat?Yes 7% 1,442 shares
- Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in June?Yes 37% 350.06 shares
- Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in June?Yes 25.5% 300.03 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 16% 347.98 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 15% 695.96 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 57% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 52.9% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 58% 55.9 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 62.9% 800 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 61.9% 500 shares