Polymarket Trader

qsezcf

0xa6ec9857fa22ab6021e6c37b71cded51003773f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.14
Realized PnL: $129.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.62
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $45.9
Potential profit: $42.21
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $44.84
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $32.6
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.01
Potential profit: $31.01
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.45
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $20.13
Potential profit: $17.18
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $16.78
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $16.75
Potential profit: $13.64
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.38
Potential profit: $12.38
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.12
Potential profit: $8.12
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.21
Potential profit: $7.21
User PnL: -$0.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.31

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7PM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.74

Mariners position

Tigers vs. Mariners

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Down 50% 2.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Down 41% 2.44 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Trump say "World Cup" during Tele-Rally?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.2% 12.2 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.8% 2.07 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 2.07 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 34.48 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.9% 20.13 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 57% 1.75 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 33.71 shares