Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $448
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $352
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$52
Polymarket Trader
kaninkungen
0xa6f7332eb48de7d2c74daa7d012f419e84e58545
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $902.36
- Realized PnL
- $10.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $454.36
- Potential payout
- $537.71
- Potential profit
- $83.35
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $142.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $773.68
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.06
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.93
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.42
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.92
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.08
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.31
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $278
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.99
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.98
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.81
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.74
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.93
No position
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.89
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.64
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
No position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.01
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.44
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.2% 268.62 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 57% 399.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11% 438.1 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.6% 99.14 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 43% 1,000.11 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 55% 200.11 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 6.5% 1,009.82 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 10% 478 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 10.8% 7.43 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 4.9% 373.73 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 60% 321 shares