Polymarket Trader

TheHorrorsPersistButSoDoI

0xa7061a7dad1f570d24d89f1c417492ceb3ab42f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $738.71
Realized PnL: $509.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $983.5
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $161.5
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.9
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $181.43
Potential payout: $196.46
Potential profit: $15.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.51

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $145.18
Potential payout: $145.84
Potential profit: $0.66
User PnL: $22.98

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$78.75

No position

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $70.56
Potential payout: $74.28
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $50.36
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $22.64
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$16.41

Yes position

Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.96
Potential profit: $63.96
User PnL: -$19.44

Yes position

Will Lamont McClure be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$14.3

Yes position

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$41.34

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $46.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.96
Potential profit: $46.96
User PnL: -$36.39

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.05
Potential profit: $42.05
User PnL: -$31

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $36.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $36.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $11.15
Potential payout: $37.18
Potential profit: $26.03
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$17.49

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$18.3

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $25.07
Potential payout: $27.1
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.1%
Current value: $15.78
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $9.23
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: -$4.82

No position

Will Austin Sidwell be the Republican nominee for AL-01?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 67.9%
Current value: $14.13
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.3

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.16

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.7

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.56

Yes position

Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.03

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.99

No position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.82

Yes position

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.63

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kimberly" or "Guilfoyle" during Greek Independence Day event?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.92

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 80% 7 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 80% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Down 99% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Down 70% 20 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 200 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 1,000 shares
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

No 94% 19.99 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

No 87% 3.36 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Yes 85% 27.1 shares
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?

No 90% 15 shares
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?

No 90% 20 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 99.3% 13.02 shares