Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.92
Polymarket Trader
sherlockefrain164
0xa72274414ccbe9f2f8626dbf562f26e21156a665
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $53.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
Yes position
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
Yes position
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 341 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.5% 175 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 74 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 74 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.2% 201 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 208 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 108 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 76% 220 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 76% 220 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 86% 194 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 86% 194 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 191 shares