Yes position
Will Butcher's Stain win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $358.55
- Potential profit
- $358.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xa7244d0a2E32D866ceE7Bbb3E934dF1Dd605cB96-1771768311253
0xa7244d0a2e32d866cee7bbb3e934df1dd605cb96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.62
- Realized PnL
- $384.5
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.14
- Potential profit
- $132.14
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will The Three Sisters win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.41
- Potential profit
- $119.41
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.77
- Potential profit
- $108.77
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.52
- Potential profit
- $85.52
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.2
- Potential profit
- $85.2
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.44
- Potential profit
- $75.44
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.51
- Potential profit
- $68.51
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Children no More: Were and Are Gone win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.33
- Potential profit
- $68.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.7%
- Current value
- $20.62
- Potential payout
- $61.27
- Potential profit
- $40.66
- Multiplier
- 2.97x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will The Devil Is Busy win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.33
- Potential profit
- $53.33
- User PnL
- -$8
Maja Chwalinska position
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.89
- Potential profit
- $38.89
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.02
- Potential profit
- $30.02
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5.7
No position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Achraf Hakimi record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.55
- Potential profit
- $16.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.6
No position
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.45
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.46
No position
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.35
Yes position
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.97
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.26
No position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71
Yes position
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.55
Yes position
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
Yes position
Will "Mistake" be said during Eurovision?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40.8% 61.27 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsNo 61.3% 16.31 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11?No 99.4% 181.16 shares
- Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11?No 96.8% 309.87 shares
- Will Rúben Neves be in Portugal's Starting 11?No 95.5% 104.71 shares
- Will Tomás Araújo be in Portugal's Starting 11?Yes 96.1% 104.08 shares
- Will Kevin De Bruyne be in Belgium's Starting 11?Yes 99.1% 302.83 shares
- Will Amadou Onana be in Belgium's Starting 11?Yes 95.7% 208.91 shares
- Will Tsuyoshi Watanabe be in Japan's Starting 11?Yes 78% 128.21 shares
- Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?No 88% 170.45 shares