Polymarket Trader

htrrr

0xa74b1f0fbedf45af77387ad0a314f28b67453241

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.38
Realized PnL: $136.15
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $39.54
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $41.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.45

No position

Will 100T make a roster change before August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $41.77
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.12

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $9.5B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.43
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $20.06
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 1.2% and 1.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.4

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will Trump say "ID" or "Identification" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Squid launch a token by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

GMGN FDV above $400M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

No 43% 1.01 shares
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31?

Yes 6% 42 shares
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Yes 18% 4 shares
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Yes 20.2% 17 shares
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 37.1% 42 shares
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?

No 29% 21 shares
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title

No 23% 42 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 35% 42 shares
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?

No 8% 21 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 38% 5 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?

Yes 34.9% 21 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 40% 42 shares