Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $65.6
- Potential payout
- $69.64
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.6
Polymarket Trader
0xA75322C4bD21C861402a04264d02c66BbD482861-1774966018034
0xa75322c4bd21c861402a04264d02c66bbd482861
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $231.3
- Realized PnL
- $51.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $23.14
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.74
- Potential profit
- $44.74
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $29.06
- Potential payout
- $32.33
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $23.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $20.77
- Potential payout
- $20.96
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $19.78
- Potential payout
- $20.88
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $17.58
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $12.94
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 20-26?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 97% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?Yes 69.6% 28.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?Yes 29% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?Yes 29% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?Yes 33% 26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?Yes 53.9% 18.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?Yes 35% 57.14 shares
- Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 92.7% 12.94 shares
- Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 92.8% 32.33 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 92% 10.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?Yes 44.7% 22.35 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?No 95.8% 20.88 shares