Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $30.94
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Polymarket Trader
0xa759...cb08
0xa759c1f5ce569ed887c509f7f24f248e1575cb08
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.15
- Realized PnL
- $15.07
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $11.92
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $5.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp 91% 7.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp 50% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp 50% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp 47% 2.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp 59% 1.69 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.3% 31.75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 23% 8.7 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp 18% 5.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown 54.8% 6.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown 39% 2.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown 47% 4.26 shares