Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $548.84
- Potential profit
- $545.82
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Polymarket Trader
MMMMMMMMMM
0xa7680c8ffa952cc310f5fad6401c19f9f6b7eb1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.06
- Realized PnL
- $345.25
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $333.99
- Potential profit
- $331.82
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.67
- Potential profit
- $291.67
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $176.66
- Potential profit
- $175.34
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.6%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $26.46
- Potential profit
- $14.92
- Multiplier
- 2.29x
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $23.15
- Potential profit
- $23.14
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.59
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.27
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Haiti?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Haiti?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Hegseth caught drinking before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Lex interview?
Ends Sep 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Russia" during Xi events on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" during Tonight Show on October 6?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Lex interview?
Ends Sep 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 176.66 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?Yes 0.9% 548.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown 6% 83.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown 6% 83.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown 4% 125 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes 1.5% 333.99 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.6% 23.15 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.9% 26.46 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 1.2% 402.8 shares
- Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 12% 8.33 shares