Yes position
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$5.69
Polymarket Trader
rat-race-harmony
0xa7699418757cc816fca2a73e8c2ecc5a6386c98e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.21
- Realized PnL
- -$11.58
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $92.3
- Potential payout
- $92.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $80.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.31
- Potential profit
- $61.31
- User PnL
- -$19.01
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.32
- Potential profit
- $47.32
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $23.76
- Multiplier
- 5.21x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.11
- Potential profit
- $27.11
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $11.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.24
Yes position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown 31% 58.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 67% 14.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 55% 17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp 21% 21.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 68% 14.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown 24.5% 54.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp 87% 22.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp 89% 11.06 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 1.5% 110 shares
- Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Yes 3.2% 5.08 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 42.3% 47.32 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 22% 45.45 shares