Yes position
Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Polymarket Trader
qcp14
0xa76b7dc2d87b3b029ee67305c538547489198a50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.22
- Realized PnL
- $1.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Egg" during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Medal" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $970
- Potential profit
- $970
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $960
- Potential profit
- $960
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $960
- Potential profit
- $960
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $73.22
- Potential payout
- $813.61
- Potential profit
- $740.39
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$57.22
N
No position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $730
- Potential profit
- $730
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $720
- Potential profit
- $720
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" 3+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Federal Reserve" 10+ times during swearing-in?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dominance" or "Superiority" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rubio" or "Vance" during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will Warsh say "Wife" or "Family" during swearing-in?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear dust" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Warsh say "War" or "Iran" during swearing-in?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will Warsh say "America" or "American" 2+ times during swearing-in?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" or "LA" during Tele-Rally?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Warsh say "China" during swearing-in?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.13
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $208.24
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.98
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.32
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.8
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Hundred" 25+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.2
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.47
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.35
Yes position
Will Vance say "Somali" or "Somalian" during his Rocky Mount visit?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.72
No position
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.09
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.82
N
No position
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
No position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.92
No position
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.92
No position
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.57
No position
Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.74
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.29
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.82
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $23.37
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arch" during Taoiseach events?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will Vance say "Biden" 4+ times during his Rocky Mount visit?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.18
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 13% 83.09 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?No 79% 7.6 shares
- Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 54% 0.15 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 16% 1.3 shares
- Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?Yes 0.2% 70 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 10+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 12% 12 shares
- Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 2.1% 59.99 shares
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 17% 9.01 shares
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?No 75% 5.21 shares
- Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?No 86% 5.57 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 6% 33 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Yes 89.9% 2.58 shares