Polymarket Trader

Theshahoflongisland

0xa772ddd6bd310ce94a85a5d0ab78aeb74d47797a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $351.56
Realized PnL: $1.95K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $351.56
Potential payout: $581.1
Potential profit: $229.53
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$148.44

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.9

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.69

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.18

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.1

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.56

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.82

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.36

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.77

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.5

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.54

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.54

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.89

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.06

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.84

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.57

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45

No position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.12

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.67

No position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Yes 86% 581.1 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97% 113.4 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 52% 192.31 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 0.4% 547.53 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 97.8% 409 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 97.2% 346.53 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 13.9% 215.83 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 15.1% 331.71 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 88.8% 5.63 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 88% 340.91 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 99.6% 375 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 80% 375 shares