Polymarket Trader

hawk686

0xa77db239d2bf3739019b0f3decce6452e7dcef15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.28
Realized PnL: $87.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.9%
Current value: $30.06
Potential payout: $50.21
Potential profit: $20.15
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $14.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.08

Phoenix Mercury position

Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $7.95
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.34

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $2.77
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36
Potential profit: $1.36
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.34

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

San Francisco Giants position

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Koki Matsuda position

ITF Tokyo: Koki Matsuda vs Makoto Ochi

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

PARIVISION 99.9% 101.26 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

PARIVISION 89.2% 22.41 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

PARIVISION 87.7% 22.8 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

PARIVISION 91% 23.08 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

PARIVISION 91% 32.97 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.7% 50.21 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

No 40.3% 12.34 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?

Yes 43% 4.65 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 11?

Yes 53% 3.77 shares
ITF Tokyo: Koki Matsuda vs Makoto Ochi

Koki Matsuda 91% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?

Yes 75% 29.31 shares