Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $27.2
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$431.8
Polymarket Trader
L1quid
0xa794b8eee315d8adff4751a39355e7bd72f142ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $499.9
- Realized PnL
- $6.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $35.85
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$10.02
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $65.49
- Potential payout
- $818.68
- Potential profit
- $753.19
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $12.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $282.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $221.85
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $54.72
- Potential payout
- $280.64
- Potential profit
- $225.91
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$84.28
No position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $16.38
- Potential payout
- $19.39
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.4
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.99
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.55
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.58
No position
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.6
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.41
No position
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.35
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $250.58
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.31
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.08
No position
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.76
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.09
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.52
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.68
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.83
No position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.99
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.18
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.21
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.62
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 54% 841.21 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 54% 605.05 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 33% 212.12 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 93% 217.2 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?No 1.4% 600 shares
- Will ECDSA.fail get at least 40% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?Yes 98% 134.31 shares
- Will ECDSA.fail get at least 40% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?Yes 97% 705.15 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 96% 2,083.33 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes 88% 90 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 86.8% 500 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes 49.5% 280.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 32.4% 270.3 shares